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Red172
683226.7
90067.8
379253.3
Blue157
880847.5
596838.0
264863.7
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180180120140160200220240172157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
7Coral scored#5
36Coral points24
39Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
25Coral scored#24
89Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
129Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#9
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
172Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#19
67.80.5
66.667.1
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
red by 4.1
2648
#59
63.70.5
63.563.0
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
Second
3792
#10
53.30.5
53.053.5
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
red by 5.8
8808
#73
47.50.5
46.846.3
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
Third
6832
#75
26.70.5
23.824.3
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
blue by 11.3
5968
#74
38.00.5
39.238.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed