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Qual 1022025 Daly Division
Red168
857549.6
328446.7
699569.7
Blue178
325659.5
136939.7
184743.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18814450100250300168178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points27
31Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
30Coral scored#21
109Coral points74
1Processor algae#5
4Net algae#5
6Processor points30
16Net points20
22Algae points50
131Total teleop124
Reef
12L4#10
8L3#8
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
168Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#13
69.70.3
67.4→67.0
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
red by 10.3
3256
#58
59.52.3
54.8→57.1
Auto11.8
Teleop39.0
End8.7
Second
8575
#21
49.60.3
50.7→50.4
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
red by 6.1
1847
#30
43.42.3
40.3→42.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
Third
3284
#63
46.70.3
44.3→43.9
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
red by 7.0
1369
#50
39.72.3
36.2→38.6
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned