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Red147
53738.0
400554.7
183373.9
Blue209
943270.2
441582.7
41858.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178231100150200250300147209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+72
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +76
16Coral scored#23
56Coral points84
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#13
12Processor points24
16Net points52
28Algae points76
84Total teleop160
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
147Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#22
73.92.0
75.173.1
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
blue by 8.8
82.70.7
82.381.6
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
Second
4005
#29
54.72.0
54.552.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
blue by 15.5
9432
#23
70.20.7
69.468.7
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
Third
537
#68
38.02.0
39.237.2
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
blue by 20.6
418
#20
58.60.7
59.258.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned