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Red102
903260.3
1026019.8
948440.9
Blue157
243850.5
703463.3
7861.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13220650100150250300102157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
80Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#12
4L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points2
102Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9032
#43
60.31.4
61.560.1
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
blue by 3.0
7034
#38
63.31.5
63.762.2
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
Second
9484
#55
40.91.4
41.139.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
blue by 20.0
78
#18
61.01.5
62.460.9
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End8.6
Third
19.81.4
20.519.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 30.7
2438
#72
50.51.5
51.850.3
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed