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Red256
263081.6
725767.8
17979.1
Blue209
691153.1
704841.1
148149.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245119050100150200300350256209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
10Coral scored#7
50Coral points37
50Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#26
84Coral points92
8Processor algae#2
9Net algae#8
48Processor points12
36Net points32
84Algae points44
168Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#13
11L3#11
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
12Foul points0
256Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.6
81.982.5
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
red by 28.5
6911
#57
53.14.9
47.552.3
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
Second
179
#5
79.10.6
74.975.6
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
red by 30.0
1481
#70
49.14.9
43.648.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
Third
7257
#33
67.80.6
66.767.3
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End8.8
red by 26.7
7048
#62
41.14.9
33.838.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned