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Red153
442156.8
49467.6
634838.4
Blue228
873857.3
496764.5
460777.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181212100150200250300153228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points51
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +53
21Coral scored#28
75Coral points100
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
6Processor points30
12Net points16
18Algae points46
93Total teleop146
Reef
10L4#18
9L3#8
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#7
32Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points2
153Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#47
67.61.5
70.468.8
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
blue by 10.0
4607
#31
77.61.5
74.876.3
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Second
4421
#32
56.81.5
55.554.0
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.5
blue by 7.7
4967
#27
64.51.5
61.462.9
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
Third
6348
#41
38.41.5
38.837.3
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 18.9
8738
#26
57.31.5
56.157.6
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned