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Red227
478662.6
179696.5
150765.6
Blue255
1678105.6
566065.9
601737.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251219150200300227255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points42
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +25
31Coral scored#32
113Coral points114
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
18Processor points30
12Net points24
30Algae points54
143Total teleop168
Reef
15L4#16
9L3#12
9L2#5
9L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
227Total score255

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.8
97.296.4
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
blue by 9.1
105.63.3
101.4104.7
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
Second
1507
#25
65.60.8
65.664.8
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
blue by 0.2
5660
#28
65.93.3
59.562.8
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
Third
4786
#15
62.60.8
64.964.1
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
red by 25.4
6017
#44
37.23.3
33.436.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned