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Red165
406878.0
389139.2
928044.3
Blue146
461368.4
22671.6
1069825.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173183100150200250165146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
26Coral scored#17
93Coral points61
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#6
18Processor points30
20Net points24
38Algae points54
131Total teleop115
Reef
13L4#6
10L3#8
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
165Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.00.4
76.877.2
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
red by 6.3
226
#17
71.61.3
71.770.5
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
Second
9280
#66
44.30.4
44.645.0
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
blue by 24.1
4613
#42
68.41.3
66.965.7
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
Third
3891
#46
39.20.4
37.237.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
red by 13.4
25.91.3
26.325.0
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned