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Red196
329757.0
183373.9
450063.7
Blue218
460777.6
642469.1
406878.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203237150250300196218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +1
26Coral scored#23
94Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#10
18Processor points12
24Net points40
42Algae points52
136Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#17
10L3#6
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
196Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#22
73.90.0
73.973.9
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
blue by 4.1
4068
#14
78.00.3
77.677.4
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
Second
4500
#56
63.70.0
63.763.7
Auto16.0
Teleop39.7
End7.9
blue by 13.9
4607
#31
77.60.3
77.877.6
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Third
3297
#11
57.00.0
56.957.0
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
blue by 12.1
69.10.3
68.868.5
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6