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Red255
1678105.6
943270.2
566065.9
Blue253
2056119.8
461368.4
699569.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251267180200220240280300320340255253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points50
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +7
33Coral scored#38
118Coral points137
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
18Processor points18
32Net points20
50Algae points38
168Total teleop175
Reef
13L4#19
15L3#14
8L2#11
7L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
255Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.3
105.2105.5
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
blue by 14.2
119.80.0
118.2118.2
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
9432
#23
70.20.3
69.970.2
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
red by 0.5
6995
#13
69.70.0
68.168.1
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
5660
#28
65.90.3
65.565.8
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
blue by 2.5
4613
#42
68.40.0
66.866.7
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6