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Red248
179696.5
263081.6
445171.0
Blue219
325574.5
379253.3
703463.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279212150200250300350248219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
11Coral scored#10
53Coral points48
62Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +22
26Coral scored#27
94Coral points98
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
24Processor points18
36Net points16
60Algae points34
154Total teleop132
Reef
15L4#10
11L3#15
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
248Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.3
97.196.8
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
red by 22.0
3255
#39
74.50.6
73.474.0
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
Second
81.60.3
82.281.9
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
red by 18.3
7034
#38
63.30.6
62.262.8
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
Third
4451
#34
71.00.3
71.671.3
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
red by 17.7
3792
#10
53.30.6
52.753.3
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3