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Red259
441582.7
30268.2
69496.5
Blue275
317374.8
17979.1
465578.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266238200250300350259275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
10Coral scored#12
49Coral points61
58Total auto64
TeleoperatedBlue +10
34Coral scored#33
121Coral points117
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
24Processor points30
20Net points28
44Algae points58
165Total teleop175
Reef
17L4#16
12L3#13
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#8
53Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
259Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#9
96.50.1
96.896.9
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
red by 17.4
179
#5
79.11.0
76.277.2
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
Second
82.70.1
83.083.1
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
red by 3.9
78.81.0
75.977.0
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
Third
302
#35
68.20.1
68.568.6
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
blue by 6.6
3173
#45
74.81.0
72.073.0
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7