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Red235
441582.7
30268.2
69496.5
Blue279
2056119.8
461368.4
699569.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261271200250300350235279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
8Coral scored#11
42Coral points54
51Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +32
27Coral scored#31
96Coral points112
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#11
24Processor points24
28Net points44
52Algae points68
148Total teleop180
Reef
15L4#15
11L3#13
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points6
235Total score279

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#9
96.50.4
96.996.5
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
blue by 23.3
119.80.4
118.6119.0
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
82.70.4
83.182.7
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
red by 13.0
6995
#13
69.70.4
68.568.9
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
302
#35
68.20.4
68.668.2
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
blue by 0.1
4613
#42
68.40.4
67.267.5
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6