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Red20
541012.3
74429.8
940412.6
Blue40
547237.4
765211.1
881739.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112502003004005002040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
12Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
20Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#21
29.84.2
30.726.4
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
blue by 9.8
39.64.4
42.237.8
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
Second
9404
#13
12.64.2
28.524.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 24.7
37.44.4
48.744.3
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Third
5410
#19
12.34.2
24.420.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
red by 1.3
7652
#14
11.15.4
15.19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed