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Red126
5958.4
999531.6
17967.7
Blue89
393241.3
99986.3
555724.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1698505015020025030035040012689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+29Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +30
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
90Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
126Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
67.71.4
73.972.6
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 26.4
41.30.4
43.142.7
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
59
#3
58.41.4
59.458.0
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 33.8
5557
#15
24.60.4
39.338.9
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Third
31.62.3
13.210.9
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
red by 25.3
9998
#22
6.30.7
13.212.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned