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Red129
999722.1
18079.4
884146.2
Blue105
999220.8
152317.8
238353.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17881050100150200250300350129105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points16
40Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
83Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
129Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
79.41.7
81.880.1
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
red by 25.6
53.80.8
58.158.9
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
Second
8841
#10
46.21.7
59.657.9
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
red by 25.4
9992
#16
20.81.3
13.214.6
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
9997
#20
22.12.9
13.210.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
red by 4.3
1523
#18
17.80.8
21.722.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned