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Red96
66868.1
10851.7
881739.6
Blue34
152317.8
999722.1
555724.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122680501001502002503003509634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+62Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +62
18Coral scored#4
63Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
0Processor points0
16Net points4
16Algae points4
79Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#0
5L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
96Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
51.70.6
57.056.3
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
red by 27.1
5557
#15
24.62.6
37.434.8
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Second
39.60.6
36.435.8
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
red by 17.5
9997
#20
22.14.3
12.68.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
6686
#17
8.10.6
11.911.3
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 9.7
1523
#18
17.82.6
22.920.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed