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Red76
5958.4
999220.8
541012.3
Blue85
547237.4
999531.6
999921.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99760501502007685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+21
Endgame+5
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
49Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points6
76Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
58.40.9
58.057.1
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 21.1
37.40.8
41.141.9
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Second
9992
#16
20.81.4
8.87.4
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 10.8
31.61.4
15.516.9
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
Third
5410
#19
12.30.9
20.019.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
blue by 8.8
9999
#11
21.21.4
10.211.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed