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Red108
238353.8
215215.2
393241.3
Blue46
940412.6
18079.4
99986.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125122608010014016010846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
55Total teleop15
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points6
108Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.2
61.661.4
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
blue by 25.6
180
#1
79.45.0
80.175.1
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
Second
41.30.2
41.140.9
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
red by 28.7
9404
#13
12.65.0
22.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
2152
#12
15.20.2
8.48.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 8.9
9998
#22
6.38.3
11.93.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed