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Red70
765211.1
999722.1
74429.8
Blue123
547237.4
17967.7
884146.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1720005010015025030035070123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +32
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
12Processor points18
4Net points20
16Algae points38
55Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
70Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#21
29.81.3
26.227.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
blue by 37.9
179
#2
67.73.2
73.069.7
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
Second
9997
#20
22.12.2
10.412.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 24.1
8841
#10
46.23.2
54.451.2
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
Third
7652
#14
11.11.3
10.211.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 26.3
37.43.2
44.341.1
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned