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Red120
238353.8
66868.1
999531.6
Blue56
393241.3
999921.2
940412.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829605015020012056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+50Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +68
19Coral scored#5
68Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
92Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
120Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.8
58.961.6
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 12.5
41.31.6
42.741.1
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
31.64.6
10.915.5
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
red by 10.5
9999
#11
21.22.6
12.910.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
6686
#17
8.13.1
8.811.9
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 4.5
9404
#13
12.61.6
24.322.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed