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Red93
999220.8
884146.2
10851.7
Blue65
555724.6
881739.6
215215.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146880502002509365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+26Teleop
+16Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
44Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points0
93Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
51.73.5
60.457.0
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
red by 12.1
39.61.4
37.836.4
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
Second
8841
#10
46.23.5
57.954.4
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
red by 21.6
5557
#15
24.61.4
38.937.4
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Third
9992
#16
20.85.8
14.68.8
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 5.7
2152
#12
15.21.4
9.98.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned