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Red159
18079.4
5958.4
541012.3
Blue119
17967.7
152317.8
765211.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191108050150250300350159119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
21Coral scored#12
76Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
18Processor points6
24Net points24
42Algae points30
118Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#4
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points8
159Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
79.40.1
80.180.1
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
red by 11.7
179
#2
67.70.4
72.673.0
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
Second
59
#3
58.40.1
58.058.0
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 40.6
1523
#18
17.80.4
22.522.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Third
5410
#19
12.30.1
20.120.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
red by 1.3
7652
#14
11.10.5
9.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned