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Red108
17967.7
940412.6
555724.6
Blue128
393241.3
547237.4
5958.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131153050100200250108128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
78Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
108Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
67.71.0
72.071.0
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 9.3
59
#3
58.40.9
57.656.7
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
Second
5557
#15
24.61.0
32.431.4
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 16.7
41.30.9
42.741.8
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Third
9404
#13
12.61.0
18.217.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 24.7
37.40.9
41.040.1
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned