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Red72
999921.2
884146.2
152317.8
Blue122
74429.8
555724.6
18079.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8817405015020025030072122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +54
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
47Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#11
5L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
72Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#10
46.21.0
48.647.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
blue by 33.2
180
#1
79.41.4
79.678.2
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
Second
9999
#11
21.21.7
18.416.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
744
#21
29.81.4
31.930.5
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Third
1523
#18
17.81.0
20.119.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 6.8
5557
#15
24.61.4
31.430.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed