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Red101
999531.6
17967.7
541012.3
Blue68
999722.1
238353.8
99986.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218105010015020010168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
66Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
101Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
67.71.0
68.267.2
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 13.8
53.80.4
55.555.0
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
Second
31.61.7
31.229.5
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
red by 9.5
9997
#20
22.10.7
14.013.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
5410
#19
12.31.0
16.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
red by 6.0
9998
#22
6.30.7
4.84.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned