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Red34
999220.8
940412.6
66868.1
Blue149
215215.2
547237.4
18079.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51625010020025030034149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+83
Endgame+97
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave3
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points38
3Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#17
15Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
29Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#11
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points18
34Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#16
20.80.7
17.416.8
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 58.6
180
#1
79.40.2
78.278.4
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
Second
9404
#13
12.60.4
17.317.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 24.7
37.40.2
36.536.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Third
6686
#17
8.10.4
5.14.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 7.1
2152
#12
15.20.2
13.713.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned