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Red117
765211.1
10851.7
5958.4
Blue53
74429.8
393241.3
152317.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448805010020025011753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
80Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
117Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
58.40.4
56.055.6
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 17.1
41.32.4
39.036.6
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
108
#5
51.70.4
55.655.1
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
red by 21.9
744
#21
29.82.4
30.528.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Third
7652
#14
11.10.4
12.011.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 6.8
1523
#18
17.82.4
19.116.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed