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Red211
18079.4
17967.7
66868.1
Blue69
999531.6
152317.8
10851.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16785020030040021169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+118Teleop
+142Endgame
+142Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +111
29Coral scored#8
103Coral points28
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#1
24Processor points12
28Net points4
52Algae points16
155Total teleop44
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#2
9L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#14
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +142
0Foul points0
211Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
79.41.5
76.177.5
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
red by 27.7
108
#5
51.70.8
52.751.9
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
Second
179
#2
67.71.5
64.465.8
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 36.1
31.61.0
32.931.9
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
Third
6686
#17
8.11.5
4.86.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 9.7
1523
#18
17.80.8
18.818.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2