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Red85
5958.4
940412.6
547237.4
Blue120
393241.3
999921.2
99986.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1297605010015020025085120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
49Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
85Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
58.40.6
59.058.4
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 17.1
41.31.2
38.840.0
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
37.40.6
37.937.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
red by 16.2
9999
#11
21.21.6
17.919.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
9404
#13
12.60.6
13.212.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 6.3
9998
#22
6.31.6
3.04.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.1