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Red147
881739.6
999722.1
238353.8
Blue103
74429.8
884146.2
555724.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110108100120130140147103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+54Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
108Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
10L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points10
147Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.9
50.851.7
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
red by 7.6
8841
#10
46.20.2
46.446.2
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
Second
39.60.9
36.537.5
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
red by 9.8
744
#21
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Third
9997
#20
22.11.2
18.019.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 2.5
5557
#15
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1