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Red129
5958.4
940412.6
547237.4
Blue165
999531.6
152317.8
10851.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12489050150200250300350129165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#20
50Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
6Processor points6
24Net points24
30Algae points30
80Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#10
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points18
129Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
58.40.1
58.959.0
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 6.7
108
#5
51.70.8
51.952.7
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
Second
37.40.1
37.837.9
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
red by 5.7
31.61.1
31.832.9
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
Third
9404
#13
12.60.1
13.113.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 5.2
1523
#18
17.80.8
18.018.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2