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Red2
17967.7
18079.4
66868.1
Blue0
999410.5
999310.5
999610.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19050010015025030020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +2
1Coral scored#0
2Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
2Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
2Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
79.43.4
79.275.9
Auto17.6
Teleop54.6
End7.2
red by 68.9
9993
Unranked
10.51.5
13.311.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Second
179
#2
67.73.4
67.564.1
Auto9.8
Teleop48.4
End9.4
red by 57.2
9994
Unranked
10.51.5
13.311.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
6686
#17
8.13.4
7.94.5
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 2.4
9996
Unranked
10.51.5
13.311.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.8
End1.1