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Red104
7929.6
884145.4
8645.1
Blue71
411828.5
832431.6
2129.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937105015010471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
67Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#1
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
104Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.42.1
28.730.8
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
red by 13.8
8324
#15
31.60.1
21.621.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Second
86
#16
45.11.6
39.941.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
red by 15.2
21
#18
29.90.2
22.222.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
Third
79
#7
29.61.8
10.912.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
red by 1.1
4118
#24
28.50.2
20.620.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned