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Red108
17962.8
514522.0
80142.8
Blue43
362716.0
805715.4
215219.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11542010015020010843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+81Teleop
+83Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +64
13Coral scored#4
47Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
79Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points18
108Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#4
62.80.3
47.247.5
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
red by 43.7
2152
#47
19.13.0
19.116.0
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
Second
801
#8
42.80.5
26.426.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
red by 26.7
3627
#31
16.02.4
7.65.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
5145
#23
22.00.5
20.821.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
red by 6.6
8057
#37
15.43.0
17.814.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned