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Red21
1001714.9
74417.1
881728.3
Blue52
1065016.6
903018.7
584229.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576501001502002152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+13
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#5
9Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
9Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points18
21Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8817
#25
28.33.3
19.516.2
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
blue by 0.8
5842
#11
29.01.9
19.017.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
Second
744
#29
17.12.2
13.511.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 1.6
9030
#17
18.72.4
18.416.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
14.91.1
13.414.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 1.8
16.61.2
16.615.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned