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Red109
930010.3
672235.1
23353.7
Blue88
1032322.9
632211.6
393241.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9059010015020010988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
96Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
109Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#2
53.71.1
42.443.5
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
red by 12.3
3932
#12
41.40.9
25.426.4
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
Second
6722
#21
35.11.4
25.226.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
red by 12.1
22.90.7
20.421.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
9300
#34
10.31.1
7.08.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 1.3
6322
#43
11.60.7
8.69.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed