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Red91
411828.5
80142.8
647322.2
Blue70
74417.1
362716.0
393241.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744702040601001201409170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
62Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points2
91Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#8
42.81.4
26.928.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
red by 1.3
3932
#12
41.41.6
26.427.9
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
Second
4118
#24
28.51.4
20.822.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
red by 11.4
744
#29
17.10.9
11.312.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
6473
#19
22.21.0
13.414.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 6.2
3627
#31
16.01.1
5.16.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed