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Red131
159241.4
881728.3
2129.9
Blue95
456216.1
1032322.9
740322.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806405010015013195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
22Coral scored#11
78Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
104Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
131Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
41.43.8
27.331.1
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
red by 18.5
22.90.8
21.221.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Second
21
#18
29.93.8
22.326.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
red by 7.2
7403
#44
22.71.0
19.320.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Third
8817
#25
28.33.8
16.220.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
red by 12.2
4562
#42
16.11.0
14.315.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed