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Red94
672235.1
967028.3
632211.6
Blue49
1040213.6
7929.6
1033510.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634401001502009449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points31
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
77Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
4Foul points0
94Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6722
#21
35.12.8
26.629.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
red by 5.4
79
#7
29.60.2
12.712.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
Second
9670
#28
28.32.8
14.217.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
red by 14.7
13.60.3
11.911.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Third
6322
#43
11.62.0
9.411.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
red by 0.8
10.80.3
14.814.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed