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Red72
884145.4
17448.1
279715.5
Blue134
38653.1
155718.2
18065.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6212705010015020072134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+76
Endgame+86
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +52
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
30Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
30Foul points6
72Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.43.1
30.827.6
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
blue by 20.1
180
#1
65.51.5
44.445.9
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
Second
2797
#30
15.53.1
15.212.1
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 37.5
386
#9
53.11.2
43.845.0
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End6.9
Third
1744
#46
8.13.1
13.19.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 10.1
1557
#22
18.21.5
15.416.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned