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Red71
215219.1
832431.6
456216.1
Blue17
805715.4
401314.6
743118.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63572040801007117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+40Teleop
+36Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
11Coral scored#1
40Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
48Total teleop2
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
18Foul points0
71Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#15
31.60.0
21.721.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 12.7
7431
#33
18.93.6
24.320.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
2152
#47
19.10.0
16.016.0
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 3.7
8057
#37
15.43.6
14.811.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Third
4562
#42
16.10.0
15.315.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 1.5
4013
#45
14.62.4
10.78.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed