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Red144
190256.4
17962.8
1021111.2
Blue59
402415.9
8645.1
1001714.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317005010015020014459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +78
20Coral scored#5
71Coral points19
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
101Total teleop23
Reef
8L4#2
9L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points2
144Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#4
62.82.4
47.650.0
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
red by 17.7
86
#16Sur
45.10.6
41.641.0
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
1902
#6Sur
56.42.7
48.851.5
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
red by 40.6
4024
#13
15.90.8
9.89.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
11.24.0
11.715.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 3.7
14.90.8
13.112.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned