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Red61
581618.5
1033510.8
740322.7
Blue77
409112.4
4319.8
362716.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673802060801001206177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
46Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
61Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7403
#44
22.70.0
20.320.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 6.7
3627
#31
16.01.7
6.37.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Second
5816
#39
18.50.0
16.816.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 6.1
4091
#50
12.42.5
12.515.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Third
10.80.0
14.514.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 0.9
431
#49
9.82.5
14.717.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed