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Red94
514522.0
18065.5
805715.4
Blue102
647322.2
401314.6
5952.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95722040608012014016018094102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points64
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
72Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#3
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
94Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
65.50.6
45.946.4
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 13.3
59
#5
52.23.3
41.745.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
Second
5145
#23
22.00.6
22.823.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
6473
#19
22.22.2
14.516.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Third
8057
#37
15.40.6
11.211.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 0.8
4013
#45
14.62.0
8.310.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed