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Red114
411828.5
672235.1
884145.4
Blue142
23353.7
80142.8
903018.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95101050150200250114142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+34
Endgame+22
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points54
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
82Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points6
114Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#14
45.42.6
27.630.3
Auto6.3
Teleop32.8
End6.3
blue by 8.4
233
#2
53.73.0
43.646.6
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
Second
6722
#21
35.12.6
29.332.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.4
End2.5
blue by 7.7
801
#8
42.84.5
28.332.8
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
Third
4118
#24
28.52.6
22.224.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
red by 9.8
9030
#17
18.74.5
12.216.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned