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Red33
1033510.8
2129.9
743118.9
Blue61
930010.3
584229.0
581618.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785720401001201403361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
21Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
33Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#18
29.93.4
28.625.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
red by 0.9
5842
#11
29.00.9
22.223.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
Second
7431
#33
18.93.4
20.617.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 0.4
5816
#39
18.51.5
16.918.3
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Third
10.83.4
14.611.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 0.5
9300
#34
10.30.9
8.79.6
Auto1.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed