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Red57
409112.4
155718.2
456216.1
Blue107
1065016.6
8645.1
74417.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62830204010012014016057107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
38Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
12Foul points2
57Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1557
#22
18.23.1
24.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 26.9
86
#16
45.11.4
41.042.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Second
4562
#42
16.13.1
15.312.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 1.0
744
#29
17.11.4
12.513.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
4091
#50
12.43.1
15.012.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 4.3
16.62.3
15.317.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned