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Red68
740322.7
1001714.9
514522.0
Blue121
279715.5
547247.4
7929.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679020408010012014016068121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points51
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
0Processor points18
12Net points16
12Algae points34
44Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
68Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7403
#44
22.70.2
20.320.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 24.7
47.42.0
40.242.3
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
Second
5145
#23
22.00.2
23.423.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
blue by 7.6
79
#7
29.62.0
17.819.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End6.9
Third
14.90.2
12.312.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 0.7
2797
#30
15.53.1
15.218.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned