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Red134
23353.7
411828.5
152318.0
Blue83
17448.1
159241.4
805715.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10853015013483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+69Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +72
27Coral scored#9
96Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
124Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#2
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points6
134Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#2
53.72.0
46.648.6
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
red by 12.3
1592
#10
41.40.9
31.632.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
Second
4118
#24
28.53.4
24.828.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
red by 13.1
8057
#37
15.40.9
11.712.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Third
1523
#27
18.03.4
14.317.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
red by 9.9
1744
#46
8.10.9
5.46.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned